- What is a normal distribution?
- Empirical rule
- Parameters
- Probabilities and standard normal distribution
- Areas under the normal distribution in R and by hand
- Ex. 1
- Ex. 2
- Ex. 3
- Ex. 4
- Ex. 5

- Areas under the normal distribution in R and by hand
- Why is the normal distribution so crucial in statistics?
- How to test the normality assumption
- Histogram
- Density plot
- QQ-plot
- Normality test

- References

## What is a

normal distribution?

The normal distribution is a function that defines how a set of measurements is distributed around the center of these measurements (i.e., the mean). Many natural phenomena in real life can be approximated by a bell-shaped frequency distribution known as the normal distribution or the Gaussian distribution.

The normal distribution is a mount-shaped, unimodal and symmetric distribution where most measurements gather around the mean. Moreover, the further a

measure deviates from the mean, the lower the probability of occurring. In this sense, for a given variable, it is common to find values close to the mean, but less and less likely to find values as we move away from the mean. Last but not least, since the normal distribution is symmetric around its mean, extreme values in both tails of the distribution are equivalently unlikely. For instance, given that adult height follows a normal distribution, most adults are close to the average height and

extremely short adults occur as infrequently as extremely tall adults.

In this article, the focus is on understanding the normal distribution, the associated empirical rule, its parameters and how to compute (Z)-scores to find probabilities under the curve (illustrated with examples). As it is a requirement in some statistical tests and

hypothesis tests, we also show 4 complementary methods to test the normality assumption in R.

## Empirical rule

Data possessing an approximately normal distribution have a definite variation, as expressed by the following empirical rule:

- (mu pm sigma) includes approximately 68% of the observations
- (mu pm 2 cdot sigma)

includes approximately 95% of the observations - (mu pm 3 cdot sigma) includes almost all of the observations (99.7% to be more precise)

Normal distribution & empirical rule (68-95-99.7% rule)

where (mu) and

(sigma) correspond to the population mean and population standard deviation, respectively.

The empirical rule, also known as the 68-95-99.7% rule, is illustrated by the following 2 examples.

Suppose that the scores of an exam in statistics given to all students in a Belgian university are known to have, approximately, a normal distribution with mean (mu = 67) and standard deviation (sigma = 9). It can then be deduced that approximately

68% of the scores are between 58 and 76, that approximately 95% of the scores are between 49 and 85, and that almost all of the scores (99.7%) are between 40 and 94. Thus, knowing the mean and the standard deviation gives us a fairly good picture of the distribution of scores.

Now suppose that a single university student is randomly selected from those who took the exam. What is the probability that her score will be between 49 and 85? Based on the empirical rule, we find that 0.95 is a

reasonable answer to this probability question.

The utility and value of the empirical rule are due to the common occurrence of approximately normal distributions of measurements in nature. For example, IQ, shoe size, height, birth weight, etc. are approximately normally-distributed. You will find that approximately 95% of these measurements will be within (2sigma) of their mean

(Wackerly, Mendenhall, and Scheaffer 2014).

## Parameters

Like many probability distributions, the shape and probabilities of the normal distribution is defined entirely by some parameters. The normal distribution has two

parameters:

- the mean (mu), and
- the variance (sigma^2) (i.e., the square of the standard deviation (sigma)).

The mean

(mu) locates the center of the distribution, that is, the central tendency of the observations, and the variance (sigma^2) defines the width of the distribution, that is, the spread of the observations.

The mean (mu) can take on any finite value (i.e., (-infty < mu < infty)), whereas the variance (sigma^2) can assume any positive finite value (i.e., (sigma^2 > 0)). The shape of the

normal distribution changes based on these two parameters. Since there is an infinite number of combinations of the mean and variance, there is an infinite number of normal distributions, and thus an infinite number of forms.

For instance, see how the shapes of the normal distributions vary when the two parameters change:

As you can see on the second graph, when the variance (or the standard

deviation) decreases, the observations are closer to the mean. On the contrary, when the variance (or standard deviation) increases, it is more likely that observations will be further away from the mean.

A random variable (X) which follows a normal distribution with a mean of 430 and a variance of 17 is denoted (X ~ sim mathcal{N}(mu = 430, sigma^2 = 17)).

We have seen that, although different normal distributions have different shapes, all normal

distributions have common characteristics:

- They are symmetric, 50% of the population is above the mean and 50% of the population is below the mean
- The mean, median and mode are equal
- The empirical rule detailed earlier is applicable to all normal distributions

## Probabilities and standard normal distribution

Probabilities and quantiles for random variables with normal distributions are

easily found using R via the functions `pnorm()`

and `qnorm()`

. Probabilities associated with a normal distribution can also be found using this Shiny app. However, before computing probabilities, we need to learn more about the standard normal distribution and the (Z)-score.

Although there are infinitely many normal distributions (since there is a normal distribution for every

combination of mean and variance), we need only one table to find the probabilities under the normal curve: the **standard normal distribution**.

The normal standard distribution is a special case of the normal distribution where the mean is equal to 0 and the variance is equal to 1. A normal random variable (X) can always be transformed to a standard normal random variable (Z), a process known as “scaling” or “standardization”, by subtracting the

mean from the observation, and dividing the result by the standard deviation. Formally:

[Z = frac{x – mu}{sigma}]

where (x) is the observation, (mu) and (sigma) the mean and standard deviation of the population from which the observation was drawn. So the mean of the standard normal distribution is 0, and its variance is 1, denoted (Z ~ sim mathcal{N}(mu = 0, sigma^2 = 1)).

From this formula, we

see that (Z), referred as standard score or (Z)-score, allows to see how far away one specific observation is from the mean of all observations, with the distance expressed in standard deviations. In other words, the (Z)-score corresponds to the number of standard deviations an observation is away from the mean. A positive (Z)-score means that the specific observation is above the mean, whereas a negative (Z)-score means

that the specific observation is below the mean. (Z)-scores are often used to compare an individual to her peers, or more generally, a measurement compared to its distribution.

For instance, suppose a student scoring 60 at a statistics exam with the mean score of the class being 40, and scoring 65 at an economics exam with the mean score of the class being 80. Given the “raw” scores, one would say that the student performed better in economics than in statistics. However,

taking into consideration her peers, it is clear that the student performed relatively better in statistics than in economics.

Computing (Z)-scores allows to take into consideration all other students (i.e., the entire distribution) and gives a better measure of comparison. Let’s compute the (Z)-scores for the two exams, assuming that the score for both exams follow a normal distribution with the following parameters:

Statistics | Economics | ||
---|---|---|---|

Mean | 40 | 80 | |

Standard deviation | 8 | 12.5 | |

Student’s score | 60 | 65 |

(Z)-scores for:

- Statistics: (z_{stat} = frac{60 – 40}{8} = 2.5)
- Economics: (z_{econ} = frac{65 – 80}{12.5} = -1.2)

On the one hand, the (Z)-score for the exam in statistics is positive ((z_{stat} = 2.5)) which means that she performed better than average. On the other hand, her score for the exam in economics is negative ((z_{econ} =

-1.2)) which means that she performed worse than average. Below an illustration of her grades in a standard normal distribution for better comparison:

Although the score in economics is better in absolute terms, the score in statistics is actually relatively better

when comparing each score within its own distribution.

Furthermore, (Z)-score also enables to compare observations that would otherwise be impossible because they have different units for example. Suppose you want to compare a salary in € with a weight in kg. Without standardization, there is no way to conclude whether someone is more extreme in terms of her wage or in terms of her weight. Thanks to (Z)-scores, we can compare two values that were in the first

place not comparable to each other.

Final remark regarding the interpretation of a (Z)-score: a rule of thumb is that an observation with a (z)-score between -3 and -2 or between 2 and 3 is considered as a rare value. An observation with a (z)-score smaller than -3 or larger than 3 is considered as an extremely rare value. A value with any other (z)-score is considered as not rare nor extremely rare.

## Areas under the normal distribution in R and by hand

Now that we have covered the (Z)-score, we are going to use it to determine the area under the curve of a normal distribution.

Note that there are several ways to arrive at the solution in the following exercises. You may therefore use other steps than the ones presented to obtain the same result.

### Ex. 1

Let

(Z) denote a normal random variable with mean 0 and standard deviation 1, find (P(Z > 1)).

We actually look for the shaded area in the following figure:

Standard normal distribution: (P(Z > 1))

#### In R

```
pnorm(1,
mean = 0,
sd = 1, # sd stands for standard deviation
lower.tail = FALSE
)
```

`## [1] 0.1586553`

We look for the probability of (Z) being larger than 1 so we set the argument `lower.tail = FALSE`

. The default `lower.tail = TRUE`

would give the result for (P(Z < 1)). Note that (P(Z = 1) = 0) so writing (P(Z > 1)) or (P(Z ge 1)) is equivalent.

#### By hand

See that the random variable (Z) has already a mean of 0 and a standard deviation of 1, so no

transformation is required. To find the probabilities by hand, we need to refer to the standard normal distribution table shown below:

From the illustration at the top of the table, we see that the values inside the table correspond to the area under the normal curve **above** a certain (z). Since we are looking precisely at the probability above (z = 1) (since we look for (P(Z > 1))), we can simply proceed down the first

((z)) column in the table until (z = 1.0). The probability is 0.1587. Thus, (P(Z > 1) = 0.1587). This is similar to what we found using R, except that values in the table are rounded to 4 digits.

### Ex. 2

Let (Z) denote a normal random variable with mean 0 and standard deviation 1, find (P(−1 le Z le 1)).

We are looking for the shaded area in the following figure:

Standard normal distribution: (P(−1 le Z le 1))

#### In R

`pnorm(1, lower.tail = TRUE) - pnorm(-1, lower.tail = TRUE)`

`## [1] 0.6826895`

Note that the arguments by default for the mean and the standard deviation are `mean = 0`

and `sd = 1`

. Since this is what we need, we can omit

them.1

#### By hand

For this exercise we proceed by steps:

- The shaded area corresponds to the entire area under the normal curve minus the two white areas in both tails of the curve.
- We know that the normal distribution is symmetric.
- Therefore,

the shaded area is the entire area under the curve minus two times the white area in the right tail of the curve, the white area in the right tail of the curve being (P(Z > 1)). - We also know that the entire area under the normal curve is 1.
- Thus, the shaded area is 1 minus 2 times (P(Z > 1)):

[P(−1 le Z le 1) = 1 – 2 cdot P(Z > 1)] [= 1 – 2 cdot 0.1587 = 0.6826]

where (P(Z > 1) =

0.1587) has been found in the previous exercise.

### Ex. 3

Let (Z) denote a normal random variable with mean 0 and standard deviation 1, find (P(0 le Z le 1.37)).

We are looking for the shaded area in the following figure:

Standard normal distribution: (P(0 le Z le 1.37))

#### In R

`pnorm(0, lower.tail = FALSE) - pnorm(1.37, lower.tail = FALSE)`

`## [1] 0.4146565`

#### By hand

Again we proceed by steps for this exercise:

- We know that (P(Z > 0) = 0.5) since the

entire area under the curve is 1, half of it is 0.5. - The shaded area is half of the entire area under the curve minus the area from 1.37 to infinity.
- The area under the curve from 1.37 to infinity corresponds to (P(Z > 1.37)).
- Therefore, the shaded area is (0.5 – P(Z > 1.37)).
- To find (P(Z > 1.37)), proceed down the (z) column in the table to the entry 1.3 and then across the top of the table to

the column labeled .07 to read (P(Z > 1.37) = .0853) - Thus,

[P(0 le Z le 1.37) = P(Z > 0) – P(Z > 1.37)] [ = 0.5 – 0.0853 = 0.4147]

### Ex. 4

Recap the example presented in the empirical rule: Suppose that the scores of an exam in statistics given to all students in a Belgian university are known to have a normal distribution with mean (mu = 67) and standard deviation

(sigma = 9). What fraction of the scores lies between 70 and 80?

We are looking for the shaded area in the following figure:

(P(70 le X le 80)) where (X sim mathcal{N}(mu = 67, sigma^2 = 9^2))

#### In R

`pnorm(70, mean = 67, sd = 9, lower.tail = FALSE) - pnorm(80, mean = 67, sd = 9, lower.tail = FALSE)`

`## [1] 0.2951343`

#### By hand

Remind that we are looking for (P(70 le X le 80)) where (X sim mathcal{N}(mu = 67, sigma^2 = 9^2)). The random variable (X) is in its “raw” format, meaning that it has not been standardized yet since the mean is 67 and the variance is (9^2). We thus need to first apply the transformation to standardize the endpoints 70 and 80 with the following

formula:

[Z = frac{X – mu}{sigma}]

After the standardization, (x = 70) becomes (in terms of (z), so in terms of deviation from the mean expressed in standard deviation):

[z = frac{70 – 67}{9} = 0.3333]

and (x = 80) becomes:

[z = frac{80 – 67}{9} = 1.4444]

The figure above in terms of (X) is now in terms of (Z):

(P(0.3333 le Z le 1.4444)) where (Z sim mathcal{N}(mu = 0, sigma^2 = 1))

Finding the probability (P(0.3333 le Z le 1.4444)) is similar to exercises 1 to 3:

- The shaded area corresponds to the area under the

curve from (z = 0.3333) to (z = 1.4444). - In other words, the shaded area is the area under the curve from (z = 0.3333) to infinity minus the area under the curve from (z = 1.4444) to infinity.
- From the table, (P(Z > 0.3333) = 0.3707) and (P(Z > 1.4444) = 0.0749)
- Thus:

[P(0.3333 le Z le 1.4444)] [= P(Z > 0.3333) – P(Z > 1.4444)]

[= 0.3707 – 0.0749 = 0.2958]

The difference with the probability found using in R comes from the rounding.

To conclude this exercise, we can say that, given that the mean scores is 67 and the standard deviation is 9, 29.58% of the students scored between 70 and 80.

### Ex. 5

See another example in a context here.

## Why is the normal distribution so crucial in statistics?

The normal distribution is important for three main reasons:

- Some statistical hypothesis tests assume that the data follow a normal distribution
- The central limit theorem states that, for a large number of observations (usually (n >

30)), no matter what is the underlying distribution of the original variable, the distribution of the sample means ((overline{X}_n)) and of the sum ((S_n = sum_{i = 1}^n X_i)) may be approached by a normal distribution (Stevens

2013) - Linear and nonlinear regression assume that the residuals are normally-distributed (for small sample sizes)

It is therefore useful to know how to test for normality in R, which is the topic of next sections.

## How to test the normality assumption

As mentioned above, some

statistical tests require that the data follow a normal distribution, or the result of the test may be flawed.

In this section, we show 4 complementary methods to determine whether your data follow a normal distribution in R.

## Histogram

A histogram displays the spread and

shape of a distribution, so it is a good starting point to evaluate normality.

Let’s have a look at the histogram of a distribution that we would expect to follow a normal distribution, the height of 1,000 adults in cm:

The normal curve with the corresponding mean and

variance has been added to the histogram. The histogram follows the normal curve so the data seems to follow a normal distribution.

Below the minimal code for a histogram in R with the dataset `iris`

:

```
data(iris)
hist(iris$Sepal.Length)
```

In`{ggplot2}`

:

```
ggplot(iris) +
aes(x = Sepal.Length) +
geom_histogram()
```

Histograms are however not sufficient, particularly in the case of small samples because the number of bins greatly change its appearance. Histograms are not recommended when

the number of observations is less than 20 because it does not always correctly illustrate the distribution. See two examples below with datasets of 10 and 12 observations:

Can you tell whether these datasets follow a normal distribution?

Surprisingly, both series are generated from a normal distribution!

In the remaining of the article, we will use the dataset of the 12 adults. If you would like to follow my code in your own script, here is how I generated the data:

```
set.seed(42)
dat_hist <- data.frame(
value = rnorm(12, mean = 165, sd = 5)
)
```

The `rnorm()`

function generates random numbers from a normal distribution (12 random numbers with a mean of 165 and standard deviation of 5 in this case). These 12 observations are then saved in the dataset called `dat_hist`

under the variable`value`

. Note that `set.seed(42)`

is important to obtain the exact same data as me.2

## Density plot

Density plots also provide a visual judgment about

whether the data follow a normal distribution.

They are similar to histograms as they also allow to analyze the spread and the shape of the distribution. However, they are a smoothed version of the histogram.

Here is the density plot drawn from the dataset on the height of the 12 adults discussed above:

`plot(density(dat_hist$value))`

In `{ggpubr}`

:

```
library(ggpubr) # package must be installed first
ggdensity(dat_hist$value,
main = "Density plot of adult height",
xlab = "Height (cm)"
)
```

Since it is hard to test for normality from

histograms and density plots only, it is recommended to corroborate these graphs with a QQ-plot. QQ-plot, also known as normality plot, is the third method presented to evaluate normality.

## QQ-plot

Like histograms and density plots, QQ-plots allow to visually evaluate the normality assumption.

Here is the QQ-plot drawn from the dataset on the height of the 12

adults discussed above:

```
library(car)
qqPlot(dat_hist$value)
```

`## [1] 12 2`

In `{ggpubr}`

:

```
library(ggpubr)
ggqqplot(dat_hist$value)
```

Instead of looking at the spread of the data (as it is the case with histograms and density plots), with QQ-plots we only need to ascertain whether the data points follow the line (sometimes referred as Henry’s line).

If points are close to the reference line and within the confidence bands, the normality assumption can be considered as met. The bigger the deviation between the points and the reference line and the more they lie outside the confidence bands, the less likely that the

normality condition is met. The height of these 12 adults seem to follow a normal distribution because points follow the line and all of them lie within the confidence bands.

When facing a non-normal distribution as shown by the QQ-plot below (systematic departure from the reference line), the first step is usually to apply the logarithm transformation on the data and recheck to see whether the log-transformed data are normally distributed.

If this is the case, the data are said to follow a log-normal distribution. Applying the logarithm transformation can be done in R with the `log()`

function.

Note that QQ-plots are also a convenient way to assess whether residuals from

linear regression follow a normal distribution.

## Normality test

The 3 tools presented above were a visual inspection of the normality. Nonetheless, visual inspection may sometimes be unreliable so it is also possible to formally test whether the data follow a normal distribution with statistical tests.

These normality tests compare the distribution of

the data to a normal distribution in order to assess whether observations show an important deviation from normality.

The two most common normality tests are Shapiro-Wilk’s test and Kolmogorov-Smirnov test. Both tests have the same hypotheses, that is:

- (H_0): the data follow a normal distribution
- (H_1): the data do not follow a normal distribution

Shapiro-Wilk test is recommended for normality test as it provides better power

than Kolmogorov-Smirnov test.3 In R, the Shapiro-Wilk test of normality can be done with the function`shapiro.test()`

:4

`shapiro.test(dat_hist$value)`

```
##
## Shapiro-Wilk normality test
##
## data: dat_hist$value
## W = 0.93968, p-value = 0.4939
```

From the output, we see that the (p)-value (> 0.05) implying that we do not reject the null hypothesis that the data follow a normal distribution. This test goes in the same direction than the QQ-plot, which

showed no significant deviation from the normality (as all points lied within the confidence bands).

It is important to note that, in practice, normality tests are often considered as too conservative in the sense that for large sample size ((n > 50)), a small deviation from the normality may cause the normality condition to be violated.

A normality test is a hypothesis test, so as the

sample size increases, their capacity of detecting smaller differences increases. So as the number of observations increases, the Shapiro-Wilk test becomes very sensitive even to a small deviation from normality. As a consequence, it happens that according to the normality test the data do not follow a normal distribution although the departures from the normal distribution is negligible so the data could in fact be considered to follow approximately a normal distribution. For this reason, it is

often the case that the normality condition is verified based on a combination of all methods presented in this article, that is, visual inspections (with histograms and QQ-plots) and a formal inspection (with the Shapiro-Wilk test for instance).

I personally tend to prefer QQ-plots over histograms and normality tests so I do not have to bother about the sample size. This article showed the different methods that are available, your choice will of course depends on the type of your data

and the context of your analyses.

Thanks for reading. I hope the article helped you to learn more about the normal distribution and how to test for normality in R.

As always, if you have a question or a suggestion related to the topic covered in this article, please add it as a comment so other readers can benefit from the discussion.

## References

Stevens, James P. 2013. Intermediate Statistics: A Modern Approach.

Routledge.

Wackerly, Dennis, William Mendenhall, and Richard L Scheaffer. 2014. Mathematical Statistics with Applications. Cengage Learning.

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### How do you know if normality assumption is reasonable?

Draw a boxplot of your data. If your data comes from a normal distribution, the box will be symmetrical with the mean and median in the center. If the data meets the assumption of normality, there should also be few outliers. A normal probability plot showing data that’s approximately normal.

### Is it reasonable to assume that the data are normally distributed?

If the value of a variable is influenced by numerous statistically independent factors, then it is appropriate to assume that the values of the variable is normally distributed.

### Why the assumption of a normal distribution is a reasonable assumption?

The reason for the normal distribution assumptions is that this is usually the simplest mathematical model that can be used. In addition, it is surprisingly ubiquitous and it occurs in most natural and social phenomena. This is why the assumption of normality is usually a good first approximation.

### Does there seem to be any problem with the normality assumption?

There are few consequences associated with a violation of the normality assumption, as it does not contribute to bias or inefficiency in regression models. It is only important for the calculation of p values for significance testing, but this is only a consideration when the sample size is very small.